By now you may have heard that the surprise measurements at the NFL scouting combine of Kyler Murray’s height at 5-10 1/8 and his hands at 9 ½ inches have made him the presumptive No. 1 quarterback and No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 draft.
At least that’s the buzz that’s been emanating out of Indianapolis ever since those results were announced, but it’s not the way we’re hearing it at all.
That he is in fact at least an inch taller than everyone expected, and 9 ½-inch hands are more than big enough to escape fumbling problems are pluses for the reigning Heisman Trophy winner. But according to multiple scouts and front office folks we’ve talked to since those results came out, they do little to alleviate the concerns they had going into the combine.
That Murray is far shorter than you’d like for the position and still has just one season as a starter in an offense built for him to succeed at the college level, but in all likelihood unlike much of what he’ll be asked to do at the NFL level, is unchanged. And that’s not the biggest issue.
Even if those weigh-in results do cement him as a first-round choice as opposed to a Day 2 selection at best, which we do expect is true, although nowhere near certain, we can’t find an NFL team that has locked him as a clear choice over Dwayne Haskins of Ohio State as the best quarterback in this draft— and we have talked to a number of teams that have Haskins No. 1 and tell us nothing is going to happen to change that between now and April 25.
According to our sources, the Arizona Cardinals, who currently own the top overall pick may, have some buyer’s remorse after giving up the 15th overall pick, a third-round choice and a fifth-rounder last year to move up to No. 10 to select Josh Rosen, but they are nowhere near committed to pulling the plug on Rosen yet.
Understand that if the Cardinals were to keep the first pick this year and use it on Murray, the Oklahoma quarterback would be costing them two No. 1s, a third-rounder and a fifth-rounder and comes with all the huge question marks he came with when everyone thought he was an inch shorter.
None of which speaks to the bigger issue.
Though Haskins also only has one season as a starter in college, he had better numbers than Murray in every category but rushing, in an offense that much more closely resembles what the two will play in the NFL, against a clearly more difficult schedule, and Haskins is the prototypical NFL franchise QB at 6-3, 231.
On top of all of that, Haskins not only threw in Indianapolis, by all accounts he wowed scouts with his performance, while Murray chose not to throw and to wait until his orchestrated pro day.
There are no issues with Murray’s choice of when to throw and why — it’s not all that uncommon among recent prospects.
But the idea he somehow passed Haskins, not to mention a dozen or so other players — including receivers, offensive and defensive tackles and edge rushers all with higher grades than him — without even throwing a football is absurd.
The way we hear it loud and clear and from multiple sources is that the idea Murray suddenly became the presumptive top quarterback and No. 1 overall pick in the Draft is simply not true.
Murray appears to be a quality young man who is going to be the highest-drafted sub-6-0 quarterback in history, and the verification of his height at a shade over 5-10 did help his prospects.
But there is still little or no chance that he goes ahead of Haskins or No. 1 overall, and he does still have work to do to secure his place in the top 20 or so picks.
Again, people, he’s a 5-10 QB who didn’t throw or workout at the combine. Think about it. How much could his status really have changed?