Fantasy Football early-July ADP Alert: Bears' Trubisky, Titans' Walker look like bargains

And are we now at the point where Todd Gurley undervalued in fantasy?

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That's right, it's the first rendition of our annual summer series, the ADP Alert, where we go position by position scouring for steals and recognizing red flags as draft season nears. First up, let's check out 12 players who appear undervalued approximately three weeks from the start of training camps.


Carson Wentz (QB10, 8.03)

Wentz tied Russell Wilson in 2017 to finish No. 2 among all QBs in per-game fantasy scoring. He appeared to be rediscovering that MVP form last season when his year was cut short by back surgery. Are the injuries a concern? Absolutely. Are the Eagles, who opted to give Wentz his record-breaking extension two years early, as smart as any NFL team, with the most intimate understanding of Wentz's medical background? Affirmative. In addition to his own tools, Wentz's skill support, O-line and coaching is elite.

Mitch Trubisky (QB22, 13.11)

We’re not sure at what point or why Trubisky became public enemy No. 1, but here are the facts: He was QB14 overall last season, his first in a real NFL offense with a real NFL-caliber pass-catching corps, one where, still, his two best talents were seldom 100 percent. Trubisky himself missed two starts with a shoulder injury — his per-game scoring ranked 11th among his peers. He was a top-five running quarterback, outpacing Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott, among others. Unlike us, if you’re sensing a passing regression, there’s comfort in Trubisky’s floor given his dynamic athleticism. And he's being drafted as a low-tier QB2. Hmm.


Todd Gurley (RB11, 2.05)

At what point does fantasy's most dominant skill force over the past two seasons become a bargain in light of his arthritic knee condition? We're there now. After paying Gurley early, the Rams, it says here, really have no choice but to lean on him as their centerpiece on offense for as long as it's viable. And no we didn't miss the postseason. We think Sean McVay uses it as a teaching point — not only being too rigid schematically but also not unleashing his best talent.

Josh Jacobs (RB20, 3.10)

Flanking Jacobs on the ADP list are Tennessee's Derrick Henry and Chicago's David Montgomery, each in a tandem with an elite receiving specialist. With all due respect to Jalen Richard, a more than capable pass catcher in his own right, the Raiders spent a first-rounder on Jacobs to build their offense around him. And while being the bell cow will be new to Jacobs, having three studs in front of him in Rodney Hudson, Gabe Jackson and Trent Brown can help him channel Bama again.

Tevin Coleman (RB31, 6.10)

One of the best bargains in reality during free agency can hold the same mantle in fantasy. Coleman, unlike Jerick McKinnon, has done it before under Kyle Shanahan. He also has the explosiveness of McKinnon and Matt Breida without the same size limitations, making him our favorite to lead the backfield of a potentially lethal offense.

LeSean McCoy (RB44, 9.09)

Just when we thought we were out on Shady, he pulls us back in. No, not with last year's dud of a season (career-low 752 yards from scrimmage) but his enhanced surroundings — beginning with an entirely rebuilt O-line — and Buffalo not identifying his potential successor. McCoy is at a precarious age for backs, but we think the arrival of the ageless Frank Gore lights a fire under a rejuvenated runner who, by the way, also handled a career-low 195 touches last season.


A.J. Green (WR12, 3.06)

Imagine drafting Green as your WR2, and then go draft Green as your WR2. He'll be 31 in July and is coming off his second injury-shortened season without at least 1,000 receiving yards in the past three years, after averaging 83-1,234-9 in his first five NFL campaigns. We might not know what Zac Taylor is as an NFL coach yet, but Green's a WR1 all damn day.

Tyler Lockett (WR21, 5.02)

One of the NFL's better kept secrets got out last season, when Lockett's 13.8 yards per target led the league ... by two full yards. And after turning only 70 targets into 965 yards and 10 touchdowns, understand Lockett is poised for a lot more love from Russell Wilson. Doug Baldwin, who retired in the offseason, averaged 110.5 targets as Seattle's No. 1 from 2014-17. Lockett is now officially Seattle's WR1.

Robby Anderson (WR29, 6.09)

Anderson was WR35 last season, when he missed the first two games with a suspension. He finally avoided legal run-ins this offseason, ahead of a contract year, after thrashing Buffalo (4-76-1), Green Bay (7-96-1) and Houston (9-140-1) in the fantasy playoffs. Plug in Le'Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder, and one of the game's most feared vertical weapons won't see as many safeties over the top but he will see a much improved Sam Darnold.

Keke Coutee (WR44, 10.02)

Frankly, we'll likely end up targeting Will Fuller and Lamar Miller, too, but Coutee might currently be the best way to procure some affordable stock in Deshaun Watson's Texans. Watson said of Coutee recently, "you have to find a way to get him the ball," and that was after the fourth-rounder averaged 7 targets — and north of 8 fantasy points — per game during an injury-riddled rookie season.


Delanie Walker (TE12, 11.08)

In his first five seasons with Marcus Mariota, Walker finished as TE7, TE4, TE1, TE5 and TE3 overall, respectively, before suffering a season-ending ankle injury on his 39th snap in Week 1 last year. It was only the second time in his first 13 seasons that he failed to play at least 14 games. Tennessee's new offensive coordinator, Arthur Smith, was previously Walker's position coach and, like Mariota, knows well that the offense needs a productive Walker to again be a productive unit.

Greg Olsen (TE14, 13.05)

Apologies for sticking with the old guys, but why wouldn't we? Olsen, like Walker, has been successful long enough to easily prefer over, say, Eric Ebron seven full rounds earlier. Also like Walker, Olsen is an absolute pro who doesn't need to spend time again assimilating with his quarterback or the Panthers offense after the first two injury-derailed campaigns of his career. Could Olsen be washed? Sure. Is a 13th-round flier worth the price to find out? We'd say so.

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